CC
Chemours Co (CC)·Q3 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q3 2025 delivered $1.495B in net sales (down 1% YoY, down 7% QoQ), GAAP diluted EPS of $0.40 (vs. $(0.22) YoY), and Adjusted EBITDA of $195M (down 3% YoY, down 23% QoQ). Strength in Opteon Refrigerants offset operational disruptions in TT and APM, with free cash flow rising to $105M and cash from operations at $146M .
- TSS was the bright spot: Net sales +20% YoY to $560M and Adjusted EBITDA +40% YoY to $194M (35% margin), with Opteon Refrigerants up 80% YoY to $368M; TT and APM were impacted by pricing and outages, with TT EBITDA at $25M and APM EBITDA at $14M .
- Q4 2025 outlook: consolidated Adjusted EBITDA $130–$160M, with segment ranges TSS $125–$140M, TT $15–$20M (includes a $25M production cost impact), and APM $30–$40M; capex ~$50M and FCF conversion 50–70% .
- Guidance reset: FY25 Adjusted EBITDA now $745–$770M (down from $775–$825M in Q2 and $825–$950M in Q1) amid TT demand weakness and APM disruptions; dividend maintained at $0.0875 for Q4 2025 .
- Catalysts: announced global TiO2 price increase effective Dec 1, 2025; successful qualification of two‑phase immersion cooling fluid with Samsung Electronics; continued double‑digit Opteon growth expected through early 2026 and margin support from Corpus expansion .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- TSS delivered strong execution: Net sales +20% YoY, Adjusted EBITDA +40% YoY, margin expansion to 35%; management emphasized “industry‑leading performance” as Opteon Refrigerants grew 80% YoY to $368M driven by the U.S. AIM Act transition .
- Opteon mix shift and aftermarket strength: “Opteon refrigerants now account for 80% of total combined refrigerant revenues, up from 58%” YoY, with pricing support in aftermarket and continued double‑digit growth expected into early 2026 .
- Liquidity and cash generation improved: cash from operations $146M, free cash flow $105M (54% conversion), total liquidity $1.6B, and net leverage ratio at 4.6x (TTM) .
What Went Wrong
- TT profitability compressed: Net sales −9% YoY and Adjusted EBITDA down 68% YoY to $25M, with margin at 4% due to weaker pricing and ~$11M operational disruption costs; sequential price and volume pressures persisted .
- APM outage impact: Washington Works outage drove volume −15% YoY, APM Adjusted EBITDA reduced to $14M, with ~$20M outage‑related costs and SPS Capstone line exit completed during the quarter .
- Consolidated sequential decline: Q3 Adjusted EBITDA fell to $195M from $253M in Q2 (−23%), and guidance lowered for FY25 as macro weakness and operational disruptions persisted in TT and APM .
Financial Results
Segment breakdown:
KPIs:
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- “Opteon refrigerants now account for 80% of total combined refrigerant revenues, up from 58% from the prior‑year quarter” — Denise Dignam (CEO) .
- “Adjusted EBITDA was $195 million… primarily driven by increased costs due to now resolved operational disruptions in the TT business and the previously referenced APM outage, partially offset by strong TSS performance” — Prepared Remarks .
- “We recently communicated a global pricing increase [for TiO₂]… while it will take some months for the oversupply to work through, we believe these changes provide longer‑term opportunities in Western markets” — Denise Dignam (CEO) .
- “For Q4, consolidated adjusted EBITDA is expected to range between $130 million and $160 million… TT’s decrease in production will result in a $25 million cost impact to TT’s adjusted EBITDA” — Shane Hostetter (CFO) .
- “Successful qualification of our two‑phase immersion cooling fluid by Samsung Electronics” — Denise Dignam (CEO) .
Q&A Highlights
- TSS sustainability and aftermarket vs OEM: Management expects double‑digit Opteon growth to continue into early 2026, citing quota maximization and aftermarket strength despite OEM inventory dynamics .
- TT operations and pricing: One‑off operational issues resolved; Q4 includes $25M fixed cost absorption from lower production; confidence in executing price increase in fair trade markets (EMEA, North America) .
- Liquid cooling investments: A non‑cash, one‑time ~$22M charge flowed through EBITDA; FY25 product development costs ~$40M, trending toward ~$20M annually in 2026 .
- PFAS and insurance proceeds: $150M insurance rights advance supports settlement payments; broader insurance pool ~$750M gross being pursued over time .
- Balance sheet and refinancing: Extended U.S. term loan maturity to 2032; opportunistic approach to upcoming maturities including potential secured structures .
Estimates Context
Chemours vs S&P Global consensus:
Notes: Consensus values marked with * retrieved from S&P Global.
Q3 2025: slight revenue and adjusted EPS misses vs consensus, but Adjusted EBITDA beat. Q2 2025: broad beats; Q1 2025: revenue beat, adjusted EPS and EBITDA modest misses [functions.GetEstimates]*.
Key Takeaways for Investors
- TSS momentum remains the core earnings driver; double‑digit Opteon growth and 35% margins provide near‑term resilience while TT and APM stabilize .
- TT near‑term headwinds (pricing, destocking) offset by announced global price increase and supportive fair trade regimes; expect Q4 earnings pressure from $25M production cost impact but improved cash generation strategy .
- Cash discipline showing: FCF improved to $105M with 54% conversion; liquidity at $1.6B and net leverage at 4.6x; dividend maintained at the resized level .
- FY25 guidance reset reflects conservatism amidst macro/operational noise; watch Q4 execution and TT pricing traction and 2026 restocking commentary as estimate revision catalysts .
- Emerging growth optionality: validation milestones in immersion cooling (Samsung) and continued development; spend tapering in 2026, with potential long‑term TAM .
- Near‑term trading: stock likely sensitive to TT price increase realization and Q4 EBITDA delivery vs range; medium‑term thesis anchored on TSS growth, cost‑out, and de‑risked balance sheet from settlements and insurance proceeds .