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Chemours Co (CC)·Q3 2025 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Q3 2025 delivered $1.495B in net sales (down 1% YoY, down 7% QoQ), GAAP diluted EPS of $0.40 (vs. $(0.22) YoY), and Adjusted EBITDA of $195M (down 3% YoY, down 23% QoQ). Strength in Opteon Refrigerants offset operational disruptions in TT and APM, with free cash flow rising to $105M and cash from operations at $146M .
  • TSS was the bright spot: Net sales +20% YoY to $560M and Adjusted EBITDA +40% YoY to $194M (35% margin), with Opteon Refrigerants up 80% YoY to $368M; TT and APM were impacted by pricing and outages, with TT EBITDA at $25M and APM EBITDA at $14M .
  • Q4 2025 outlook: consolidated Adjusted EBITDA $130–$160M, with segment ranges TSS $125–$140M, TT $15–$20M (includes a $25M production cost impact), and APM $30–$40M; capex ~$50M and FCF conversion 50–70% .
  • Guidance reset: FY25 Adjusted EBITDA now $745–$770M (down from $775–$825M in Q2 and $825–$950M in Q1) amid TT demand weakness and APM disruptions; dividend maintained at $0.0875 for Q4 2025 .
  • Catalysts: announced global TiO2 price increase effective Dec 1, 2025; successful qualification of two‑phase immersion cooling fluid with Samsung Electronics; continued double‑digit Opteon growth expected through early 2026 and margin support from Corpus expansion .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

What Went Well

  • TSS delivered strong execution: Net sales +20% YoY, Adjusted EBITDA +40% YoY, margin expansion to 35%; management emphasized “industry‑leading performance” as Opteon Refrigerants grew 80% YoY to $368M driven by the U.S. AIM Act transition .
  • Opteon mix shift and aftermarket strength: “Opteon refrigerants now account for 80% of total combined refrigerant revenues, up from 58%” YoY, with pricing support in aftermarket and continued double‑digit growth expected into early 2026 .
  • Liquidity and cash generation improved: cash from operations $146M, free cash flow $105M (54% conversion), total liquidity $1.6B, and net leverage ratio at 4.6x (TTM) .

What Went Wrong

  • TT profitability compressed: Net sales −9% YoY and Adjusted EBITDA down 68% YoY to $25M, with margin at 4% due to weaker pricing and ~$11M operational disruption costs; sequential price and volume pressures persisted .
  • APM outage impact: Washington Works outage drove volume −15% YoY, APM Adjusted EBITDA reduced to $14M, with ~$20M outage‑related costs and SPS Capstone line exit completed during the quarter .
  • Consolidated sequential decline: Q3 Adjusted EBITDA fell to $195M from $253M in Q2 (−23%), and guidance lowered for FY25 as macro weakness and operational disruptions persisted in TT and APM .

Financial Results

MetricQ3 2024Q2 2025Q3 2025
Net Sales ($USD Millions)$1,508 $1,615 $1,495
GAAP Diluted EPS ($)$(0.22) $(2.54) $0.40
Adjusted Diluted EPS ($)$0.40 $0.58 $0.20
Adjusted EBITDA ($USD Millions)$202 $253 $195
Cash from Operations ($USD Millions)$139 $93 $146
Capital Expenditure ($USD Millions)$76 $43 $41
Free Cash Flow ($USD Millions)$63 $50 $105

Segment breakdown:

SegmentQ3 2024Q2 2025Q3 2025
TSS Net Sales ($M)$468 $597 $560
TSS Adjusted EBITDA ($M)$139 $207 $194
TT Net Sales ($M)$672 $657 $612
TT Adjusted EBITDA ($M)$78 $47 $25
APM Net Sales ($M)$354 $346 $311
APM Adjusted EBITDA ($M)$38 $50 $14
Other Net Sales ($M)$14 $15 $12
Other Adjusted EBITDA ($M)$3 $4 $2

KPIs:

KPIQ3 2024Q2 2025Q3 2025
Opteon Refrigerants Net Sales ($M)$205 $375 $368
Net Leverage Ratio (Non‑GAAP, TTM)4.5x 4.7x 4.6x
Total Liquidity ($USD Billions)1.5 1.6

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
Consolidated Adjusted EBITDA ($M)Q4 2025130–160 New
Corporate Expenses ($M, offset to Adj. EBITDA)Q4 202540–45 New
Capital Expenditure ($M)Q4 2025~50 New
Free Cash Flow Conversion (%)Q4 202550–70 New
TSS Adjusted EBITDA ($M)Q4 2025125–140 New
TT Adjusted EBITDA ($M)Q4 202515–20; includes ~$25M production cost impact New
APM Adjusted EBITDA ($M)Q4 202530–40 New
FY Adjusted EBITDA ($M)FY 2025825–950 (Q1) 745–770 (Q3) Lowered (vs. 775–825 in Q2 )
Dividend per share ($)Q4 20250.0875 Maintained at reduced level
TT PricingDec 1, 2025Global TiO2 price increase effective Dec 1, 2025 Announced

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q1 & Q2)Current Period (Q3)Trend
Opteon demand & AIM Act transitionOpteon +40% YoY (Q1); +65% YoY (Q2); margins ~30–35% Opteon +80% YoY; 80% of refrigerant revenues; double‑digit growth expected into early 2026 Strengthening; aftermarket robust; OEM transition ongoing
TT fair trade & pricingTT volumes up in Western markets; pricing pressure; cost‑out targeted TT: price down; destocking; price increase announced; view 300kt+ capacity rationalization inclusive; regional mix Near‑term weak; longer‑term supportive with duties
Operational excellence & COEAddressed cold weather and rail issues (Q1/Q2) Manufacturing COE launched; outage impacts resolved; standardized operating system Improving reliability; cost‑out continuing
Liquid cooling & data centerNavin Fluorine agreement; commercialization later in decade Samsung qualification; one‑time $22M item (non‑cash) through EBITDA; ~$40M FY25 development costs Advancing product validation; investment tapering in 2026
PFAS settlements & insuranceNJ settlement (Q2): ~$250M NPV; $150M insurance rights advance Continued advocacy; no impact from U.S. govt shutdown; exploring portfolio and real estate optimization De‑risking balance sheet; cash flow support

Management Commentary

  • “Opteon refrigerants now account for 80% of total combined refrigerant revenues, up from 58% from the prior‑year quarter” — Denise Dignam (CEO) .
  • “Adjusted EBITDA was $195 million… primarily driven by increased costs due to now resolved operational disruptions in the TT business and the previously referenced APM outage, partially offset by strong TSS performance” — Prepared Remarks .
  • “We recently communicated a global pricing increase [for TiO₂]… while it will take some months for the oversupply to work through, we believe these changes provide longer‑term opportunities in Western markets” — Denise Dignam (CEO) .
  • “For Q4, consolidated adjusted EBITDA is expected to range between $130 million and $160 million… TT’s decrease in production will result in a $25 million cost impact to TT’s adjusted EBITDA” — Shane Hostetter (CFO) .
  • “Successful qualification of our two‑phase immersion cooling fluid by Samsung Electronics” — Denise Dignam (CEO) .

Q&A Highlights

  • TSS sustainability and aftermarket vs OEM: Management expects double‑digit Opteon growth to continue into early 2026, citing quota maximization and aftermarket strength despite OEM inventory dynamics .
  • TT operations and pricing: One‑off operational issues resolved; Q4 includes $25M fixed cost absorption from lower production; confidence in executing price increase in fair trade markets (EMEA, North America) .
  • Liquid cooling investments: A non‑cash, one‑time ~$22M charge flowed through EBITDA; FY25 product development costs ~$40M, trending toward ~$20M annually in 2026 .
  • PFAS and insurance proceeds: $150M insurance rights advance supports settlement payments; broader insurance pool ~$750M gross being pursued over time .
  • Balance sheet and refinancing: Extended U.S. term loan maturity to 2032; opportunistic approach to upcoming maturities including potential secured structures .

Estimates Context

Chemours vs S&P Global consensus:

MetricQ1 2025Q2 2025Q3 2025
Revenue Actual ($USD Billions)1.368 1.615 1.495
Revenue Consensus Mean ($USD Billions)1.352*1.567*1.498*
Adjusted Diluted EPS Actual ($)0.13 0.58 0.20
Primary EPS Consensus Mean ($)0.199*0.457*0.242*
Adjusted EBITDA Actual ($USD Millions)166 253 195
EBITDA Consensus Mean ($USD Millions)171.2*220.8*183.6*

Notes: Consensus values marked with * retrieved from S&P Global.
Q3 2025: slight revenue and adjusted EPS misses vs consensus, but Adjusted EBITDA beat. Q2 2025: broad beats; Q1 2025: revenue beat, adjusted EPS and EBITDA modest misses [functions.GetEstimates]*.

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • TSS momentum remains the core earnings driver; double‑digit Opteon growth and 35% margins provide near‑term resilience while TT and APM stabilize .
  • TT near‑term headwinds (pricing, destocking) offset by announced global price increase and supportive fair trade regimes; expect Q4 earnings pressure from $25M production cost impact but improved cash generation strategy .
  • Cash discipline showing: FCF improved to $105M with 54% conversion; liquidity at $1.6B and net leverage at 4.6x; dividend maintained at the resized level .
  • FY25 guidance reset reflects conservatism amidst macro/operational noise; watch Q4 execution and TT pricing traction and 2026 restocking commentary as estimate revision catalysts .
  • Emerging growth optionality: validation milestones in immersion cooling (Samsung) and continued development; spend tapering in 2026, with potential long‑term TAM .
  • Near‑term trading: stock likely sensitive to TT price increase realization and Q4 EBITDA delivery vs range; medium‑term thesis anchored on TSS growth, cost‑out, and de‑risked balance sheet from settlements and insurance proceeds .